Choco vs SD Compostela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
DUB
3 - 4
CHO
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
ASP
55%
23%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 1
CHO
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 1
ALO
48%
24%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 0
CHO
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
BOU
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
COM
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
ORD
87%
10%
3%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 0
COM
29%
26%
46%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
COM
2 - 3
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |