Choco vs Rápido de Bouzas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 2
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RIB
0 - 1
CHO
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
BAR
55%
22%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
CHO
30%
27%
44%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
DEP
47%
24%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rápido de Bouzas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
RIB
1 - 4
BOU
34%
25%
41%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BOU
3 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
22%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ARO
5 - 2
BOU
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 2
RIB
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BOI
4 - 1
BOU
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |