Choco vs Pontellas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CHO
4 - 0
UDO
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ALO
2 - 1
CHO
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 2
EST
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
UDA
0 - 2
CHO
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pontellas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PON
0 - 0
OUR
14%
21%
65%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ARE
2 - 1
PON
75%
17%
8%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PON
2 - 2
RIB
25%
24%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
PON
0 - 3
ALO
17%
23%
60%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BOU
2 - 0
PON
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |