Choco vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ARE
1 - 0
CHO
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
3 - 1
RIB
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
BOU
2 - 1
CHO
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 2
UDA
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
PON
1 - 0
CHO
12%
21%
67%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
OUR
1 - 1
ARO
52%
24%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
RIB
2 - 4
OUR
24%
25%
52%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
BOU
2 - 1
OUR
18%
24%
58%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
OUR
0 - 1
LEG
8%
22%
69%
|
39 | 81 | 42 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
OUR
3 - 1
PON
82%
12%
5%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |