Choco vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SOM
2 - 4
CHO
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
RIB
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
RCV
1 - 1
CHO
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 0
LAR
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ARE
1 - 1
CHO
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
OUR
0 - 0
BOI
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
OUR
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
OUR
2 - 0
POR
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
UDO
1 - 0
OUR
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
OUR
1 - 1
RCF
16%
24%
60%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |