Choco vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NOI
3 - 1
CHO
18%
23%
59%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
ALO
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ARO
3 - 0
CHO
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 0
CEL
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
CHO
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
OUR
1 - 1
ARE
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 2
OUR
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
OUR
3 - 0
NEG
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
OUR
1 - 0
BER
19%
25%
56%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NOI
1 - 5
OUR
26%
25%
49%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |