Choco vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CDB
1 - 1
CHO
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 0
VER
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 2
CLU
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CUL
2 - 0
CHO
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CHO
2 - 1
CDL
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
OUR
0 - 3
CUL
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CDL
3 - 0
OUR
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
OUR
0 - 1
CDV
70%
17%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
USD
4 - 1
OUR
13%
20%
67%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
OUR
0 - 5
UDA
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |