Choco vs CD Lugo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NOI
3 - 0
CHO
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 1
RCV
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BOU
0 - 0
CHO
66%
20%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 4
EST
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SIL
3 - 0
CHO
39%
26%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
CD Lugo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
VIV
0 - 3
POL
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
RCV
1 - 1
POL
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
POL
1 - 1
BOU
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
EST
0 - 1
POL
23%
24%
54%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
POL
4 - 0
SIL
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |