Choco vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
37.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
CEL
1 - 2
CHO
76%
18%
7%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
CHO
1 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
ALO
1 - 0
CHO
82%
14%
5%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
CHO
0 - 1
FLA
61%
22%
17%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
NOI
2 - 0
CHO
72%
19%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
CDO
4 - 0
LEM
71%
19%
10%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
VIS
0 - 0
CDO
35%
28%
37%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
CDO
0 - 0
CLU
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
ARO
3 - 0
CDO
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -3 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
CDO
0 - 3
LUG
74%
18%
9%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -3 |