Choco vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
BET
5 - 3
CHO
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
CHO
4 - 1
ARE
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
GRA
1 - 0
CHO
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
CHO
0 - 1
DEP
19%
26%
55%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
CHO
1 - 1
LUG
32%
27%
42%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
CDO
2 - 1
COX
80%
12%
7%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
CEL
3 - 0
CDO
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
CDO
1 - 2
ATO
81%
12%
7%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
ALO
1 - 1
CDO
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
CDO
2 - 1
BOU
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |