Choco vs UD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ALO
2 - 1
CHO
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 2
EST
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
UDA
0 - 2
CHO
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 2
ARO
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 0
OUR
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
UDO
1 - 2
OUR
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ARE
1 - 0
UDO
61%
22%
18%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 0
UDO
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
UDO
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
UDO
2 - 0
RIB
60%
22%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |