Choco vs UD Ourense analysis

Choco UD Ourense
34 ELO 31
-3% Tilt -15.7%
10830º General ELO ranking 5113º
1266º Country ELO ranking 183º
ELO win probability
55.5%
Choco
21.4%
Draw
23.1%
UD Ourense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
Choco
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.1%
Win probability
UD Ourense
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Choco
-24%
+43%
UD Ourense

ELO progression

Choco
UD Ourense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Choco
Choco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2020
POL
CD Lugo B
1 - 1
Choco
CHO
41%
24%
35%
34 30 4 0
26 Jan. 2020
CHO
Choco
1 - 1
Rápido de Bouzas
BOU
53%
22%
25%
34 33 1 0
18 Jan. 2020
DEP
Deportivo Fabril
1 - 0
Choco
CHO
58%
21%
21%
35 37 2 -1
12 Jan. 2020
BER
Bergantiños FC
2 - 1
Choco
CHO
28%
25%
47%
36 28 8 -1
05 Jan. 2020
CHO
Choco
5 - 0
Barco
BAR
46%
24%
30%
34 36 2 +2

Matches

UD Ourense
UD Ourense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2020
UDO
UD Ourense
2 - 2
Pontellas
PON
75%
16%
10%
31 19 12 0
26 Jan. 2020
ARO
Arosa
1 - 1
UD Ourense
UDO
53%
22%
25%
31 34 3 0
19 Jan. 2020
UDO
UD Ourense
1 - 0
UD Paiosaco
UPH
68%
19%
14%
30 24 6 +1
12 Jan. 2020
UDO
UD Ourense
1 - 0
CSD Arzua
ARZ
53%
22%
25%
30 27 3 0
05 Jan. 2020
RCV
RC Villalbés
3 - 1
UD Ourense
UDO
41%
25%
35%
31 31 0 -1