Choco vs UD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
POL
1 - 1
CHO
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 1
BOU
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 0
CHO
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BER
2 - 1
CHO
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CHO
5 - 0
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
UDO
2 - 2
PON
75%
16%
10%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARO
1 - 1
UDO
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
UDO
1 - 0
UPH
68%
19%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UDO
1 - 0
ARZ
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
RCV
3 - 1
UDO
41%
25%
35%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |