Choco vs UD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
RCF
2 - 0
CHO
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
ARO
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
COM
4 - 1
CHO
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 2
UPH
59%
21%
19%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
SIL
2 - 2
CHO
25%
24%
52%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
OUR
0 - 0
UDO
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
UDO
2 - 0
BOI
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
UDO
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
UDO
1 - 0
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
UDO
1 - 0
BER
26%
24%
50%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |