Choco vs Nigrán Cf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
RIB
1 - 2
CHO
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CHO
6 - 1
ALE
68%
20%
13%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
CHO
51%
24%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CHO
4 - 0
GRA
59%
23%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TOM
1 - 1
CHO
38%
25%
36%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nigrán Cf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
NIG
3 - 2
ARO
24%
22%
55%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
RIB
4 - 1
NIG
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NIG
2 - 2
CRU
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALE
4 - 1
NIG
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
NIG
1 - 2
PON
37%
25%
37%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |