Choco vs Nigrán Cf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
LAL
3 - 1
CHO
63%
22%
15%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 0
ARE
74%
18%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
CHO
43%
26%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 1
CAM
46%
25%
29%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
POR
3 - 0
CHO
41%
27%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nigrán Cf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
NIG
2 - 3
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ARO
1 - 1
NIG
50%
23%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
NIG
2 - 1
GRA
50%
24%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ATO
3 - 2
NIG
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NIG
2 - 2
PON
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |