Choco vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
SAN
2 - 1
CHO
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
CHO
5 - 1
MAR
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
ARO
5 - 2
CHO
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
CHO
0 - 1
ATO
63%
19%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
DEP
3 - 1
CHO
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
LUG
2 - 0
ALO
86%
10%
5%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
VIV
1 - 1
LUG
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
LUG
3 - 0
LEM
80%
12%
8%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
ACF
2 - 1
LUG
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
LUG
2 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |