Choco vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
ORD
3 - 1
CHO
48%
23%
29%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
CHO
1 - 1
MAR
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
LUG
1 - 0
ZEL
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
COX
0 - 2
LUG
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
ARO
0 - 1
LUG
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
LUG
4 - 1
ZEL
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
GRA
2 - 1
LUG
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |