Choco vs Club Lemos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
VIS
2 - 1
CHO
73%
18%
9%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
CHO
1 - 2
CLU
55%
25%
20%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
ARO
4 - 0
CHO
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
CHO
0 - 0
LUG
37%
30%
34%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
CDO
4 - 1
CHO
79%
15%
6%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Club Lemos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
GRA
4 - 0
LEM
63%
22%
15%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
LEM
0 - 1
VIS
55%
26%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
CLU
0 - 1
LEM
49%
27%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
LEM
1 - 0
ARO
31%
30%
39%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
LUG
1 - 0
LEM
74%
18%
9%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |