Choco vs Club Lemos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
ARO
1 - 0
CHO
42%
26%
32%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
CHO
4 - 1
ASP
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
ACF
1 - 1
CHO
37%
27%
36%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
CHO
7 - 2
FOZ
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 1
COM
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Club Lemos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
LEM
2 - 1
ALO
37%
26%
38%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
COX
3 - 0
LEM
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
LEM
1 - 2
RCF
10%
19%
71%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
DEP
3 - 0
LEM
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
ATO
0 - 0
LEM
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |