Choco vs Club Lemos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 0
CEL
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
LUG
3 - 2
CHO
86%
9%
5%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
CHO
2 - 0
ACF
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
ARO
2 - 0
CHO
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
CHO
4 - 0
MAR
86%
9%
5%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Club Lemos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
BUE
2 - 0
LEM
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
LEM
3 - 2
FOZ
57%
22%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
GRA
1 - 1
LEM
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
LEM
0 - 5
COM
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
RCF
3 - 1
LEM
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |