Choco vs Laracha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BOI
1 - 3
CHO
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CHO
4 - 0
CUL
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SIL
2 - 0
CHO
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CHO
0 - 0
RCV
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 3
CHO
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Laracha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 0
ARO
23%
25%
52%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
LAR
56%
23%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LAR
2 - 0
BER
52%
26%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 0
ORD
28%
27%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BOI
1 - 1
LAR
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |