Choco vs Laracha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
CHO
27%
26%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 0
ARO
45%
25%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CUL
2 - 2
CHO
27%
25%
48%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CHO
2 - 0
GRI
72%
18%
10%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
RCV
1 - 0
CHO
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Laracha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LAR
3 - 0
CDD
45%
27%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SOM
5 - 0
LAR
70%
19%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 0
BOI
18%
24%
59%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ORD
3 - 1
LAR
56%
24%
20%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 2
NEG
44%
28%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |