Choco vs CD Dorneda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 0
CHO
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CHO
3 - 3
BOI
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ORD
3 - 1
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
NEG
61%
23%
16%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
CHO
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Dorneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CDD
2 - 0
CER
24%
26%
50%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CDD
0 - 2
SOM
23%
24%
53%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BOI
2 - 1
CDD
72%
18%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CDD
0 - 1
ORD
35%
26%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
NEG
1 - 0
CDD
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |