Choco vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
12%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
RCV
1 - 0
CHO
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 2
SIL
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ASP
2 - 3
CHO
31%
23%
47%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 0
EST
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
UDO
0 - 1
CHO
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ARZ
2 - 3
PON
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 1
ARZ
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ARZ
3 - 0
UPH
39%
24%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SOM
2 - 1
ARZ
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
RCV
4 - 0
ARZ
57%
23%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |