Choco vs Cruceiro Do Hío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PON
2 - 2
CHO
21%
26%
54%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
POR
0 - 5
CHO
28%
28%
45%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CHO
3 - 1
MON
61%
22%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VER
1 - 2
CHO
26%
27%
47%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cruceiro Do Hío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
RIB
16%
23%
61%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ALE
2 - 0
CRU
53%
23%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
BAR
28%
24%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 2
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 1
TOM
52%
25%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |