Choco vs Cruceiro Do Hío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 1
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 0
RAP
44%
25%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
NIG
3 - 0
CHO
33%
26%
41%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 2
LAL
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ARE
0 - 1
CHO
21%
24%
56%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cruceiro Do Hío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRU
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 3
ARO
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 0
CRU
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CRU
1 - 1
ATO
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
PON
4 - 2
CRU
61%
21%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |