Choco vs Cruceiro Do Hío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CHO
2 - 0
ARO
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CHO
5 - 0
TOM
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PON
1 - 2
CHO
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
CHO
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARE
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cruceiro Do Hío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
CRU
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
CRU
3 - 2
POR
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 1
CRU
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 2
CAM
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
CRU
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |