Choco vs Cruceiro Do Hío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
CHO
42%
25%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 0
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CHO
8 - 1
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ARE
1 - 0
CHO
57%
22%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 1
PON
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cruceiro Do Hío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CRU
2 - 0
BAR
73%
16%
10%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ARE
1 - 2
CRU
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 0
PON
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CUL
0 - 1
CRU
41%
25%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CRU
6 - 0
MEL
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |