Choco vs Céltiga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ARN
2 - 2
CHO
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 1
CDV
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 2
CHO
34%
26%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 1
CUL
47%
23%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 3
CHO
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 1
VEL
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
CEL
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 4
ALL
76%
15%
10%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 4
CEL
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
PON
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |