Choco vs Céltiga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 1
CHO
47%
26%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARO
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 1
CHO
34%
27%
39%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 0
PON
52%
25%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
CEL
3 - 3
RIB
54%
23%
23%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ALE
3 - 5
CEL
19%
23%
58%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CEL
3 - 1
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 4
CEL
34%
27%
39%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CEL
3 - 2
TOM
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |