Choco vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
POR
2 - 2
CHO
71%
19%
11%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
CHO
0 - 1
ALO
37%
28%
35%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
FLA
1 - 2
CHO
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
CHO
2 - 1
NOI
60%
23%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
CHO
1 - 2
BOI
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
CEL
1 - 0
LEM
57%
25%
18%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
VIS
2 - 0
CEL
66%
20%
13%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
CEL
1 - 1
CLU
56%
25%
18%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
ARO
2 - 0
CEL
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
LUG
2 - 0
CEL
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |