Choco vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
VIV
3 - 0
CHO
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
CHO
3 - 0
SAN
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
CHO
5 - 2
ZEL
65%
18%
18%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
COX
1 - 3
CHO
73%
16%
12%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
CHO
0 - 1
DEP
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
CEL
4 - 1
ZEL
77%
13%
9%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
COX
0 - 1
CEL
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
CEL
2 - 0
DEP
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
RCF
2 - 0
CEL
85%
10%
6%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
CEL
3 - 2
GRA
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |