Choco vs CD Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ALO
0 - 2
CHO
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 1
CEL
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RIB
0 - 2
CHO
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 1
DEP
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHO
30%
25%
46%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CDC
2 - 1
BOU
25%
24%
50%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 1
CDC
47%
25%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CDC
2 - 1
ORD
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ARO
3 - 2
CDC
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CDC
2 - 0
BAR
46%
24%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |