Choco vs Boiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 0
CHO
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CHO
4 - 0
POR
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
UDO
0 - 3
CHO
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 5
RCF
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ARO
0 - 1
CHO
44%
24%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Boiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
BOI
1 - 3
BER
14%
21%
66%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
BOI
1 - 3
BAR
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
POR
3 - 0
BOI
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BOI
0 - 1
UDO
26%
23%
52%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
RCF
5 - 1
BOI
88%
9%
3%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |