Choco vs Barco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALL
0 - 1
CHO
44%
25%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 2
ALE
84%
11%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
CHO
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CHO
4 - 1
CAM
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
CHO
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
VEL
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 1
POR
64%
19%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 1
BAR
23%
23%
54%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALE
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PON
3 - 1
BAR
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |