Choco vs Barco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PON
2 - 0
CHO
37%
25%
39%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 1
SOF
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 0
CHO
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 1
OUR
54%
23%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 1
VIV
62%
20%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
POL
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
VIV
2 - 2
BAR
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 1
NOI
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RCV
1 - 2
BAR
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
BOU
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |