Choco vs Barco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
SIL
1 - 1
CHO
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 2
BER
37%
27%
36%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
COM
2 - 2
CHO
68%
19%
14%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 0
DUB
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ASP
1 - 0
CHO
16%
21%
63%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
BOU
27%
25%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
ORD
86%
10%
3%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ARO
1 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
RCV
0 - 1
BAR
57%
22%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |