Choco vs Barco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
CHO
30%
27%
44%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
DEP
47%
24%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CER
3 - 0
CHO
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
RCV
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
NOI
0 - 3
CHO
14%
23%
63%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
BAR
55%
22%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
RIB
2 - 2
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
BOU
2 - 0
BAR
48%
26%
27%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
BER
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 3
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |