Choco vs Barbadás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RIB
0 - 1
CHO
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
BAR
55%
22%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
CHO
30%
27%
44%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
DEP
47%
24%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CER
3 - 0
CHO
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BOU
3 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
22%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 3
RIB
33%
26%
41%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
BAR
55%
22%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 2
BER
49%
26%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |