Choco vs Barbadás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
CHO
54%
23%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CHO
4 - 2
BOU
53%
24%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ALO
4 - 1
CHO
30%
26%
44%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CHO
4 - 0
BET
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ASP
3 - 2
CHO
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
CDD
73%
18%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 2
BOI
32%
26%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ORD
2 - 2
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
NEG
68%
20%
12%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |