Choco vs CD Ourense B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
EST
0 - 3
CHO
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CHO
0 - 0
OGR
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TOM
0 - 0
CHO
33%
25%
42%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CHO
2 - 1
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
CHO
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ourense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
ATO
3 - 2
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ARE
0 - 3
ATO
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ATO
0 - 2
PON
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
CUL
4 - 1
ATO
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ATO
3 - 2
MEL
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |