Choco vs Atlantida Matama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 1
CHO
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
POR
5 - 0
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CEN
2 - 2
CHO
63%
20%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARN
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 3
CEL
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlantida Matama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 1
UDA
20%
23%
57%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 4
VER
25%
23%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
3 - 3
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 3
BEL
13%
19%
68%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 5
PON
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |