Choco vs As Pontes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
EST
1 - 3
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 1
UDO
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
POL
1 - 1
CHO
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 1
BOU
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 0
CHO
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
7 - 0
PON
77%
13%
9%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARO
3 - 1
ASP
63%
20%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
3 - 1
UPH
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARZ
3 - 0
ASP
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ASP
1 - 0
RCV
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |