Choco vs As Pontes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 1
CHO
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 1
ALO
48%
24%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 0
CHO
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
RIB
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 2
CHO
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ASP
0 - 0
BOU
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
ASP
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ASP
2 - 1
ORD
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ARO
3 - 2
ASP
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ASP
2 - 2
BAR
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |