Choco vs As Pontes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BOU
1 - 0
CHO
53%
24%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ORD
0 - 2
CHO
46%
26%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 2
ARO
45%
25%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
CHO
42%
26%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CHO
6 - 1
BER
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ASP
2 - 2
ARO
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
ASP
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ASP
1 - 0
BER
84%
12%
4%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 2
ASP
28%
26%
47%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ASP
1 - 4
BOI
56%
23%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |