Choco vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
ARO
2 - 0
CHO
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
CHO
4 - 0
MAR
86%
9%
5%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
CHO
0 - 0
DEP
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
BUE
2 - 2
CHO
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
CHO
2 - 1
FOZ
72%
15%
13%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
ACF
2 - 0
BUE
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
FOZ
3 - 0
ACF
56%
21%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
ACF
0 - 0
GRA
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
COM
1 - 0
ACF
90%
7%
3%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
ACF
1 - 5
RCF
15%
20%
65%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | -1 |