Choco vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
GRA
2 - 0
CHO
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
CHO
0 - 2
LUG
44%
24%
33%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
SAN
2 - 1
CHO
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
CHO
5 - 1
MAR
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
ARO
5 - 2
CHO
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
ACF
3 - 1
ALO
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
VIV
2 - 0
ACF
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
ACF
1 - 2
LEM
67%
19%
15%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
COX
4 - 0
ACF
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
GRA
2 - 4
ACF
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |