Choco vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
CEL
3 - 0
CHO
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
CHO
1 - 2
VIV
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
SAN
0 - 1
CHO
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
ZEL
2 - 1
CHO
77%
13%
10%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
CHO
4 - 2
COX
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
ACF
1 - 0
ZEL
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
COX
1 - 0
ACF
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
ACF
3 - 0
DEP
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
RCF
2 - 1
ACF
88%
8%
4%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
ACF
2 - 1
GRA
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |