Choco vs Arenteiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
RIB
2 - 1
CHO
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CHO
2 - 1
BOU
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CHO
3 - 1
RCV
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SIL
2 - 0
CHO
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHO
2 - 1
ASP
66%
18%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arenteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ARE
2 - 0
OUR
24%
25%
51%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ARO
0 - 1
ARE
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CEL
2 - 2
ARE
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ARE
2 - 1
COM
23%
23%
54%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ARE
2 - 1
ASP
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |