Choco vs Arenteiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
RIB
1 - 2
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 0
COV
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 0
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
RAP
1 - 3
CHO
35%
26%
40%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 0
SDN
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arenteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ARE
1 - 3
EST
35%
25%
40%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ARE
0 - 2
CAS
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 3
ARE
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ARE
0 - 3
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 2
ARE
39%
25%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |